Cesena vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
43.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
GRO
0 - 1
CES
31%
26%
44%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
CES
1 - 2
MOD
46%
26%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OLB
0 - 1
CES
32%
26%
43%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
CES
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
CES
1 - 2
ACD
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ANC
3 - 2
IMO
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
PIS
0 - 4
ANC
13%
23%
64%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ANC
3 - 1
ASL
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ANC
2 - 0
PON
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
AVE
0 - 1
ANC
28%
22%
50%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |