Cesena vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
SAL
3 - 1
CES
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
CES
3 - 1
ACC
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
RAV
0 - 0
CES
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
CES
2 - 2
PIA
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 1
CES
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SAS
1 - 0
REG
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 1
REG
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
USC
0 - 3
REG
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
REG
1 - 2
USP
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CAS
1 - 1
REG
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |