Cesena vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
CAT
1 - 0
CES
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
CES
1 - 0
VIC
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 2
CES
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
VER
1 - 1
CES
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
CES
2 - 1
ARZ
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 0
BAR
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
ARZ
2 - 0
MAN
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2006 |
MAN
2 - 0
MOD
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
PES
2 - 1
MAN
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
MAN
2 - 2
TRI
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |