Serie D Eliminatorias Descenso. Final
Global 3-2
AC Castellana vs US Russi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Castellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
ACC
2 - 1
ASV
31%
26%
43%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
ACC
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CSP
0 - 0
ACC
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ACC
0 - 1
UCL
45%
25%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SUC
2 - 3
ACC
61%
21%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
US Russi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
USR
2 - 2
CLZ
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MEZ
1 - 0
USR
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
USR
2 - 0
FIO
39%
26%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
USR
2 - 1
PDC
30%
26%
45%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
USR
61%
21%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |