AC Castellana vs Riccione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Castellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
BOR
1 - 1
ACC
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
BFM
1 - 0
ACC
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ACC
2 - 3
SDA
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 1
ACC
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ACC
0 - 1
ASC
34%
26%
41%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Riccione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
RIC
1 - 1
ROV
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
RIC
4 - 1
MPO
47%
24%
30%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MEZ
5 - 0
RIC
53%
24%
24%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
RIC
3 - 1
ROS
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
USR
1 - 1
RIC
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |