AC Carpenedolo vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpenedolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
PON
0 - 0
FSD
64%
21%
15%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2010 |
TUT
3 - 4
FSD
69%
19%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
FSD
3 - 4
MEZ
53%
24%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
MPO
2 - 2
FSD
59%
23%
18%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
FSD
2 - 0
NUO
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 0
NUO
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 0
USR
55%
24%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 0
CSP
64%
22%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
36%
26%
39%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 1
BAG
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |