AC Carpenedolo vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpenedolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
USI
3 - 0
FSD
42%
27%
31%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
FSD
0 - 2
PAV
63%
22%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ACS
2 - 2
FSD
33%
27%
41%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
FSD
2 - 0
FCS
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
USA
0 - 0
FSD
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
PER
0 - 3
ACM
34%
27%
39%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
ACS
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
LEO
1 - 1
PER
63%
22%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
PAV
38%
26%
36%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
USI
0 - 2
PER
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |