AC Bellinzona vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
9º
8º
49
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 1
SCH
20%
20%
60%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
BEL
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 3
THU
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 4
BEL
6%
11%
83%
|
52 | 15 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 3
FCA
13%
20%
66%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCV
6 - 0
SCH
43%
25%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
NEX
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
FCR
1 - 8
FCV
3%
6%
91%
|
63 | 14 | 49 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BAD
2 - 3
FCV
21%
22%
57%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 1
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |