AC Bellinzona vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
52.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
9º
57
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
FCV
2 - 3
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 4
STA
40%
27%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
THU
1 - 1
BEL
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
LAU
26%
27%
48%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 0
ASS
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
THU
2 - 2
FCA
32%
24%
44%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 2
LAU
44%
25%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 2
FCA
21%
22%
57%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 1
FCV
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 3
FCA
5%
11%
85%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | -1 |