Serie B round 18

SS Arezzo vs Catanzaro analysis

SS Arezzo Catanzaro
61 ELO 64
-17.8% Tilt -10.2%
1946º General ELO ranking 253º
68º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
47.4%
SS Arezzo
30.4%
Draw
22.1%
Catanzaro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
SS Arezzo
1.19
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
22.1%
Win probability
Catanzaro
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SS Arezzo
+12%
+1%
Catanzaro

ELO progression

SS Arezzo
Catanzaro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SS Arezzo
SS Arezzo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 1974
SPA
SPAL
1 - 1
SS Arezzo
ARZ
61%
25%
15%
60 65 5 0
13 Jan. 1974
ARZ
SS Arezzo
1 - 0
Brindisi
BRI
42%
28%
30%
59 64 5 +1
06 Jan. 1974
ARZ
SS Arezzo
1 - 1
Varese
VAR
37%
31%
31%
59 69 10 0
30 Dec. 1973
COM
Como
1 - 0
SS Arezzo
ARZ
58%
26%
16%
59 64 5 0
23 Dec. 1973
ARZ
SS Arezzo
0 - 0
Ascoli
ASC
32%
27%
41%
59 71 12 0

Matches

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 1974
FCC
Catanzaro
1 - 1
Palermo FC
PAL
47%
30%
23%
65 66 1 0
13 Jan. 1974
FCC
Catanzaro
0 - 1
Catania
CAT
53%
30%
18%
65 64 1 0
06 Jan. 1974
ASC
Ascoli
1 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
64%
23%
13%
66 70 4 -1
30 Dec. 1973
PAR
Parma
4 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
46%
31%
24%
67 59 8 -1
23 Dec. 1973
FCC
Catanzaro
1 - 0
Taranto
TAR
58%
27%
15%
66 60 6 +1