Aglianese vs Real Forte Querceta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SDT
1 - 1
ACA
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ACA
2 - 1
ACP
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ACS
1 - 0
ACA
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
ACA
0 - 0
SPO
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
MPO
2 - 2
ACA
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Forte Querceta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
USR
1 - 2
BAS
61%
22%
18%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
USR
1 - 0
ACS
41%
25%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SDT
2 - 1
USR
56%
22%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
USR
2 - 1
ACP
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SGP
1 - 3
USR
13%
18%
69%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |