Aglianese vs Seravezza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
BAG
0 - 1
ACA
14%
18%
68%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 0
MAR
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ACA
5 - 1
PRO
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ACP
0 - 3
ACA
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
LEN
2 - 2
ACA
39%
27%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Seravezza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
SER
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SER
3 - 2
FOR
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 2
ACP
28%
24%
49%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 1
SER
32%
24%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SER
0 - 2
PRO
39%
22%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |