Abingdon United vs AFC Hayes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abingdon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ABI
1 - 0
LON
69%
18%
12%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ABI
0 - 3
BRI
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ABI
0 - 2
DOR
31%
26%
43%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ABI
3 - 0
MIL
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BED
2 - 2
ABI
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
AFH
1 - 3
BED
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BED
1 - 1
AFH
11%
17%
71%
|
22 | 6 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AFH
3 - 2
FLA
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
AFH
1 - 3
LEI
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 1
AFH
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |