Abha vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
54.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
14º
12º
67
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ALF
3 - 0
ABH
62%
21%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
ABH
1 - 1
ALF
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
ALW
1 - 0
ABH
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
ABH
0 - 4
ALS
21%
25%
55%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ABH
2 - 1
ALR
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ALN
0 - 0
ALI
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 4
ALN
25%
26%
50%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ALN
2 - 1
DHA
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
ALN
39%
25%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ALN
1 - 0
ALW
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |