Aberystwyth Town vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
6º
4º
35
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
38 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 13 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 12 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
2 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 29% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 71% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 1
ABE
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
HAV
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 7
ABE
25%
22%
53%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ABE
3 - 3
PON
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FLI
5 - 0
ABE
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FLI
0 - 0
PON
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FLI
2 - 1
AIR
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 2
FLI
53%
23%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HAV
3 - 1
FLI
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FLI
5 - 0
ABE
53%
24%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |