Aberystwyth Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 0
LLA
61%
21%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 1
AFC
84%
12%
5%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 4
CON
39%
24%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
ABE
5 - 3
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 0
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 1
BAR
43%
27%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
TNS
3 - 3
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |