Welsh Premier League round 16

Aberystwyth Town vs Airbus UK analysis

Aberystwyth Town Airbus UK
60 ELO 50
-10.7% Tilt 13.6%
3739º General ELO ranking 2514º
22º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
59.3%
Aberystwyth Town
22.7%
Draw
18%
Airbus UK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
Aberystwyth Town
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18%
Win probability
Airbus UK
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aberystwyth Town
-39%
+15%
Airbus UK

ELO progression

Aberystwyth Town
Airbus UK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aberystwyth Town
Aberystwyth Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2005
CWM
Cwmbran Town
1 - 3
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
46%
24%
30%
59 57 2 0
03 Dec. 2005
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
1 - 2
Connah's Quay
CON
55%
25%
21%
60 51 9 -1
18 Nov. 2005
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
0 - 0
Caersws
CAE
38%
26%
36%
60 61 1 0
12 Nov. 2005
BAN
Bangor City
3 - 1
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
56%
22%
22%
61 64 3 -1
05 Nov. 2005
PON
Pontypridd United
1 - 0
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
21%
21%
58%
61 48 13 0

Matches

Airbus UK
Airbus UK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2005
POR
Porthmadog
3 - 1
Airbus UK
AIR
59%
22%
19%
50 57 7 0
07 Dec. 2005
AIR
Airbus UK
1 - 2
The New Saints
TNS
15%
19%
66%
50 69 19 0
25 Nov. 2005
CON
Connah's Quay
3 - 0
Airbus UK
AIR
48%
24%
29%
52 50 2 -2
19 Nov. 2005
AIR
Airbus UK
1 - 3
Carmarthen Town
CAR
30%
27%
43%
52 63 11 0
12 Nov. 2005
CAE
Caersws
3 - 1
Airbus UK
AIR
67%
19%
15%
53 61 8 -1