Abergavenny Town vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
77.3%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.6%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CWM
6 - 0
ABE
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
LLA
4 - 0
ABE
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LID
6 - 0
ABE
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BDG
2 - 0
ABE
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 1
AAF
14%
19%
68%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
5 - 3
ABB
81%
11%
8%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 1
PON
63%
19%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
GOY
6 - 2
CAE
38%
24%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 2
LID
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 1
CAE
51%
23%
27%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |