Cup . Last 16
Global 4-3
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
ABE
0 - 1
STJ
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
GLA
0 - 0
ABE
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
STM
0 - 0
ABE
14%
24%
62%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
ABE
0 - 1
MHE
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ABE
1 - 0
DUM
83%
13%
4%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
HOM
2 - 3
KIL
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
KIL
3 - 1
ROS
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
STJ
2 - 1
KIL
29%
29%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
KIL
1 - 3
CEL
15%
21%
65%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
KIL
6 - 0
QUE
79%
16%
5%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |