SPL Title Play-off Round 5

Aberdeen vs Hibernian FC analysis

Aberdeen Hibernian FC
78 ELO 76
-9.9% Tilt -3.7%
495º General ELO ranking 469º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47%
Aberdeen
27.1%
Draw
25.9%
Hibernian FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
Aberdeen
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.9%
Win probability
Hibernian FC
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aberdeen
-9%
+3%
Hibernian FC

ELO progression

Aberdeen
Hibernian FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 2009
GLA
Rangers
2 - 1
Aberdeen
ABE
59%
23%
18%
78 83 5 0
12 May. 2009
ABE
Aberdeen
0 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
44%
28%
27%
78 81 3 0
07 May. 2009
DUN
Dundee United
1 - 1
Aberdeen
ABE
47%
27%
27%
78 78 0 0
02 May. 2009
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 3
Celtic
CEL
33%
26%
42%
78 83 5 0
18 Apr. 2009
CEL
Celtic
2 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
60%
22%
18%
79 83 4 -1

Matches

Hibernian FC
Hibernian FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2009
HIB
Hibernian FC
0 - 0
Celtic
CEL
34%
25%
40%
76 83 7 0
13 May. 2009
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 1
Rangers
GLA
37%
27%
36%
76 83 7 0
07 May. 2009
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
58%
24%
18%
76 81 5 0
02 May. 2009
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 2
Dundee United
DUN
46%
26%
28%
76 77 1 0
19 Apr. 2009
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 3
Rangers
GLA
36%
27%
37%
76 83 7 0