Aberdeen vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1974 |
HOM
1 - 4
ABE
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
ABE
1 - 0
AIR
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
KIL
1 - 0
ABE
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
ABE
3 - 1
STJ
57%
22%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
DUN
0 - 1
ABE
53%
24%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1974 |
AYR
5 - 2
PAR
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
CEL
5 - 3
AYR
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
CLY
1 - 0
AYR
37%
30%
34%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
AYR
0 - 4
MHE
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
KIL
3 - 0
AYR
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |