ABC vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 0
ASS
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ABC
3 - 1
ARN
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
ABC
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
POT
1 - 0
ABC
15%
21%
65%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
ABC
0 - 0
PAL
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 2
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
GLO
2 - 3
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
ABC
16%
22%
62%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 2
ASS
64%
22%
15%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
FEL
0 - 2
SAN
52%
22%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |