Potiguar . Final
Global 4-4
ABC vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
POT
2 - 2
ABC
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
ABC
1 - 0
MEC
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
ABC
2 - 3
ASS
57%
22%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ARN
2 - 2
ABC
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
POT
2 - 2
ABC
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
POT
2 - 3
ARN
35%
25%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
ARN
0 - 3
POT
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ALE
1 - 3
POT
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
POT
1 - 2
ALE
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |