ABC vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
ABC
1 - 2
ATM
24%
26%
51%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
ABC
3 - 3
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
ABC
1 - 2
SCI
23%
25%
53%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
ABC
0 - 3
SAO
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
ABC
0 - 0
CRB
54%
23%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
CEA
0 - 0
GRE
29%
24%
47%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
SCI
1 - 0
GRE
55%
21%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
BOT
1 - 2
GRE
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
GRE
1 - 0
ATM
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAO
52%
23%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |