ABC vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 1
ABC
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 2
4DE
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAM
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 0
ABC
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TRE
0 - 2
ABC
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
VOL
2 - 2
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
POR
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
MAD
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
BOT
17%
24%
59%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 2
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |