ABC vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
ABC
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
4 - 0
ABC
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ABC
1 - 1
ARN
31%
25%
45%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 1
ABC
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ABC
2 - 0
GLO
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
GLO
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 2
POT
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 1
BAR
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
ASS
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ARN
2 - 0
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |