Denmark Third Division Western Round 2

Aarhus Fremad vs Thisted analysis

Aarhus Fremad Thisted
57 ELO 54
4% Tilt 14%
1546º General ELO ranking 3883º
22º Country ELO ranking 43º
ELO win probability
52.2%
Aarhus Fremad
23.6%
Draw
24.2%
Thisted

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
Aarhus Fremad
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.2%
Win probability
Thisted
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarhus Fremad
-7%
+55%
Thisted

ELO progression

Aarhus Fremad
Thisted
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarhus Fremad
Aarhus Fremad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2011
HOL
Holstebro
2 - 1
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
24%
22%
54%
58 46 12 0
06 Aug. 2011
VAR
Varde
2 - 0
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
20%
22%
57%
59 40 19 -1
11 Jun. 2011
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
2 - 1
B 1908
B19
74%
17%
9%
59 41 18 0
05 Jun. 2011
LIF
Lindholm
2 - 1
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
19%
22%
59%
59 40 19 0
02 Jun. 2011
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
0 - 4
Holstebro
HOL
71%
18%
11%
60 44 16 -1

Matches

Thisted
Thisted
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2011
AAL
Aalborg Chang
1 - 3
Thisted
THI
44%
23%
33%
52 53 1 0
07 Aug. 2011
THI
Thisted
2 - 2
Skjold
SKJ
74%
17%
10%
53 42 11 -1
11 Jun. 2011
THI
Thisted
2 - 3
Næsby BK
NAS
60%
22%
18%
53 49 4 0
05 Jun. 2011
DJU
Djursland
3 - 3
Thisted
THI
24%
23%
54%
54 42 12 -1
02 Jun. 2011
THI
Thisted
2 - 0
Varde
VAR
71%
17%
12%
53 41 12 +1