Aarau II vs Bassecourt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LAN
1 - 0
AAR
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BER
2 - 1
AAR
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 2
AAR
21%
21%
58%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
AAR
1 - 5
RSZ
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
KOS
3 - 4
AAR
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bassecourt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
BER
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BUM
1 - 1
BAS
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
BAS
5 - 2
FCW
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
FCT
2 - 0
BAS
14%
19%
67%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 5
LYS
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |