Aarau II vs Sementina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
GOL
2 - 2
AAR
23%
24%
54%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
AAR
3 - 0
MAL
59%
22%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
FCM
0 - 1
AAR
36%
24%
39%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
AAR
2 - 0
IBA
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
AAR
2 - 0
FCA
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sementina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
ACS
1 - 3
FCA
50%
24%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
BUO
5 - 1
ACS
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
ACS
2 - 1
FCS
32%
25%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SCH
2 - 1
ACS
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ACS
0 - 3
LSS
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |