Portuguesa vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 1
POR
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
JUV
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
RBB
0 - 3
POR
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
SAO
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
LEM
0 - 1
POR
7%
15%
78%
|
62 | 29 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
XVD
1 - 2
OES
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 2
XVD
35%
27%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
XVD
2 - 1
RIO
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
XVD
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
XVD
3 - 3
AUD
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |