Portuguesa vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
XVD
2 - 1
POR
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
POR
0 - 3
AGU
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
ATI
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
POR
2 - 2
POR
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
POR
3 - 2
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
BER
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
ATI
0 - 0
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
RBB
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 2
SAO
35%
27%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
POR
3 - 0
SAO
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -2 |