Portuguesa vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
RIO
48%
25%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AUD
1 - 1
POR
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
POR
2 - 2
SAO
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PPE
2 - 3
POR
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
POR
2 - 3
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAN
17%
24%
60%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
49%
25%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
RBB
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 0
SAN
16%
23%
61%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
ITU
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |