Portuguesa vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
29.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1994 |
SAO
0 - 2
POR
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
SPO
0 - 3
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1994 |
POR
3 - 0
FLA
35%
30%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
POR
1 - 0
SCI
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1994 |
FLU
2 - 1
POR
50%
27%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1994 |
SAN
1 - 0
SCI
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1994 |
SAN
3 - 0
VAS
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1994 |
PAY
0 - 1
SAN
35%
29%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAR
69%
19%
11%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
BAH
3 - 2
SAN
39%
29%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |