Portuguesa vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
22.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 1
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
POR
1 - 3
BOT
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
COT
1 - 1
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
SAO
28%
26%
45%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
BAH
0 - 0
POR
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BAH
2 - 0
NAU
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
POR
1 - 2
BAH
19%
26%
55%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
BAH
0 - 0
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 0
BAH
75%
17%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |