Tolentino vs Porto Sant'Elpidio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
UST
4 - 0
CAM
22%
25%
54%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
UST
2 - 0
OLY
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
UST
0 - 1
CYN
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
3 - 1
UST
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
UST
2 - 2
CAS
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Porto Sant'Elpidio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
SEL
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SEL
0 - 1
ASD
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
SEL
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SEL
0 - 2
CAM
12%
18%
70%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 1
SEL
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |