Tolentino vs Matese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
46.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
FAN
3 - 1
UST
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
UST
1 - 0
ASD
35%
23%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
REC
3 - 0
UST
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
UST
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UST
0 - 1
VAS
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Matese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 0
CHI
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
MAT
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 1
CAS
50%
22%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 1
MAT
47%
27%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 0
ASD
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |