Talant vs Ilbirs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Talant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 0
TAL
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
TAL
2 - 2
FKA
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
NEF
3 - 2
TAL
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 2
MUR
59%
20%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
TAL
3 - 4
ALD
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ilbirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 3
FTS
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FTS
1 - 1
NEF
17%
22%
61%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
FTS
2 - 2
DBI
12%
18%
71%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
FTS
4 - 0
ALD
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FTS
0 - 4
MUR
36%
23%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |