Moncada vs Alfara del Patriarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
13.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
VFB
0 - 1
MON
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 4
MLN
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BIE
1 - 4
MON
20%
18%
62%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
BIM
2 - 1
MON
26%
20%
54%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ALM
3 - 9
MON
8%
14%
78%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Alfara del Patriarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ADP
2 - 2
PUZ
80%
12%
8%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ADP
1 - 2
VFB
65%
17%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FOI
7 - 0
ADP
80%
12%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CRE
3 - 4
ADP
19%
19%
62%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ADP
3 - 2
BIE
64%
18%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |