Edelserpentin vs Horitschon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
46.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-91%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
15º
11º
52
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edelserpentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 2
SPG
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SPG
0 - 1
LEI
25%
20%
55%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 0
SPG
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SPG
3 - 0
DEU
29%
20%
51%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 0
SPG
15%
18%
68%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 3
SVS
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
USV
0 - 1
HOR
28%
20%
53%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
3 - 2
ASK
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 8
DRA
17%
21%
63%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
HOR
3 - 1
ASV
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |