Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
68.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CRB
2 - 1
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
16 | 69 | 53 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ASA
0 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
JAC
23%
20%
57%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
CAR
87%
10%
3%
|
17 | 75 | 58 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
AAL
20%
20%
61%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 0
AAL
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
CSA
8 - 0
MUR
87%
10%
3%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 2
CSA
8%
20%
73%
|
34 | 74 | 40 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ASA
2 - 0
MUR
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
ASA
34%
26%
41%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |