Moro vs Huracan Vila Real A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
14.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
ASF
4 - 3
MOR
39%
22%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MOR
4 - 3
PDC
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
JAS
7 - 1
MOR
81%
12%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
DRA
1 - 1
MOR
40%
21%
39%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MOR
6 - 0
AND
68%
16%
16%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Huracan Vila Real A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
HVR
1 - 6
ROD
4%
9%
87%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LPC
2 - 2
HVR
50%
21%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
HVR
1 - 0
ALQ
29%
22%
50%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LAL
2 - 0
HVR
85%
10%
5%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
HVR
2 - 3
ALM
7%
15%
79%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | 0 |