BK Derby vs Kalmar FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BK Derby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
MFF
1 - 0
BKD
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kalmar FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
KAL
0 - 2
NOR
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1977 |
HIF
0 - 1
KAL
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
KAL
1 - 2
LAN
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
AIK
1 - 1
KAL
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
KAL
2 - 1
NOR
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |