Copa Ecuador . Semi-finals
Global 3-2
9 de Octubre vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 2
AUC
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
OCT
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 0
AUC
33%
23%
44%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
0 - 0
ORE
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
BSC
2 - 2
OCT
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 1
ORE
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
BSC
4 - 1
MUS
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 1
MUS
8%
14%
79%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
MUS
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 0
TEC
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |