9 de Octubre vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
OCT
1 - 0
UCE
37%
24%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
BSC
1 - 0
OCT
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
EME
0 - 2
OCT
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
DEL
2 - 2
OCT
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
OCT
2 - 0
MAN
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 2
LIG
66%
20%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
TEC
0 - 1
LIG
33%
27%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
LIG
0 - 1
GRE
32%
26%
41%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
BSC
0 - 1
LIG
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
LIG
4 - 2
DEL
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |