4 de Julho vs Piauí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+125%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 1
4DE
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
BAR
3 - 3
4DE
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
4DE
1 - 1
FLA
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
RIV
2 - 1
4DE
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CAC
3 - 1
4DE
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
PIA
3 - 2
FLA
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
PIA
1 - 0
BAR
39%
26%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
CAC
0 - 0
PIA
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
PIA
0 - 1
PAR
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
PIA
0 - 0
CAC
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |