4 de Julho vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PIA
3 - 1
4DE
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
4DE
1 - 1
ALT
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 2
4DE
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
4DE
1 - 0
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 0
4DE
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 0
FLA
52%
25%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
RIV
3 - 0
PAR
59%
23%
17%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
ALT
3 - 0
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 1
PIA
50%
25%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 0
4DE
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |