4 de Julho vs Fluminense PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
51.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
AAO
1 - 1
4DE
12%
17%
71%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
4DE
5 - 0
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 0
FLA
66%
22%
13%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COR
2 - 3
4DE
17%
20%
63%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
4DE
0 - 0
ALT
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FPI
0 - 1
ALT
28%
22%
50%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
FPI
1 - 1
SAN
10%
20%
71%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
FPI
1 - 0
COR
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
FPI
2 - 0
OES
21%
21%
57%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 4
FPI
12%
17%
70%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |