4 de Julho vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
67.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 0
SAL
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 2
4DE
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 0
4DE
81%
13%
5%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
TIR
0 - 1
4DE
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 2
FPI
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
CON
2 - 2
CSA
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
AMP
0 - 6
CON
10%
16%
74%
|
58 | 11 | 47 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 1
CON
20%
22%
58%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CON
2 - 1
ATG
82%
12%
6%
|
59 | 26 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
CON
61%
25%
13%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |