3FB Toliara vs JET Mada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
47.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
16º
11º
11
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 29 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 22 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 18 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 17 |
11º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
59% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 10 |
15º
|
60% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3FB Toliara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
3FB
2 - 4
MMA
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
3FB
2 - 2
DAT
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
DAT
2 - 3
3FB
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
RJM
3 - 0
3FB
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
3FB
1 - 3
ELG
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
JET Mada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
RJM
1 - 1
ZFC
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
RJM
1 - 5
CNA
44%
23%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
DAT
1 - 2
RJM
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ZFC
2 - 0
RJM
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CNA
2 - 0
RJM
62%
18%
19%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |