1874 Northwich vs Trafford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1874 Northwich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
187
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
WID
1 - 1
187
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
LEE
1 - 2
187
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
187
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BOO
3 - 2
187
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Trafford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 5
CLI
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
WOR
2 - 1
TRA
73%
17%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 1
KID
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 1
MOS
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
RYL
4 - 1
TRA
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |